Residual seasonality in GDP, in public
A short, public-facing account of why residual seasonality still matters for published GDP, and how official statisticians test for it. This is a personal summary, not an official ONS publication.
Read the noteBlog
Notes on statistical methodology, sports analytics, and applied data science.
Predicting Super Bowl LX
A locked pre-game Elo and historical-simulation model for Seahawks vs Patriots. Seattle came in around 60% — and the write-up was published before kick-off.
Read the introSix Nations, for Significance magazine
A published piece on the Six Nations Championship. Short intro here; the article itself lives at Significance.
Read the intro